Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.247734 0.286984 0.331897 0.387415 0.454631 0.533932 0.635390
2025-08-17 0.186203 0.235743 0.299035 0.387194 0.509023 0.674813 0.923500
2025-08-24 0.150583 0.202757 0.274806 0.384335 0.551725 0.806884 1.244090
2025-08-31 0.126369 0.178235 0.254241 0.377996 0.583171 0.927094 1.589063
2025-09-07 0.112637 0.165395 0.246848 0.387902 0.639977 1.102408 2.100856
2025-09-14 0.098706 0.149580 0.231428 0.380385 0.663555 1.224266 2.563480
2025-09-21 0.089521 0.139694 0.223593 0.383684 0.706865 1.397422 3.227764
2025-09-28 0.081353 0.130211 0.214713 0.382867 0.741257 1.562920 3.969051
2025-10-05 0.076243 0.125177 0.212747 0.394663 0.804984 1.819232 5.135836
2025-10-12 0.071421 0.119970 0.209571 0.403197 0.863647 2.086715 6.548745
2025-10-19 0.067052 0.115014 0.206080 0.410259 0.920808 2.375142 8.299589
2025-10-26 0.063632 0.111397 0.204651 0.421528 0.992026 2.738811 10.748488
2025-11-02 0.059678 0.106405 0.199961 0.424940 1.045279 3.079545 13.564073
2025-11-09 0.055902 0.101371 0.194557 0.425790 1.092593 3.430130 16.989342
2025-11-16 0.052233 0.096158 0.188090 0.422796 1.128102 3.760587 20.898372
2025-11-23 0.048659 0.090776 0.180573 0.415722 1.149162 4.049321 25.129987
2025-11-30 0.046713 0.088584 0.179929 0.426854 1.234261 4.674807 33.700551
2025-12-07 0.043674 0.083771 0.172665 0.418414 1.249597 4.990398 40.345425
2025-12-14 0.041658 0.080984 0.169836 0.422118 1.310848 5.588328 52.345037
2025-12-21 0.039549 0.077797 0.165676 0.421201 1.355040 6.136368 66.271417
2025-12-28 0.038367 0.076566 0.166159 0.434452 1.461186 7.152165 93.671167
2026-01-04 0.037068 0.074951 0.165482 0.444045 1.556991 8.213091 130.941531
2026-01-11 0.035776 0.073231 0.164337 0.451988 1.649905 9.372137 183.702210